LAS VEGAS (KLAS) — A brand new ballot that examines the driving forces behind Nevada voters’ selections within the 2024 election reveals that President Donald Trump’s assist got here from individuals who have been centered on two major points: the economic system and immigration.
Whereas Trump voters narrowed in on these two points, Kamala Harris’s supporters have been far much less united on the problems they recognized as a very powerful, based on the Noble Predictive Insights (NPI) Nevada Public Opinion Pulse (NVPOP) ballot launched early Tuesday morning.
The ballot gives an attention-grabbing have a look at what flipped Nevada from blue to pink. Whereas the economic system was clearly the highest situation for each Trump and Harris voters, that is the place similarities ended.
About 44% of Trump’s backers recognized the economic system as a very powerful situation, with immigration taking the highest spot for 29%. No different situation received greater than an 8% rating. That is an enormous distinction to Harris voters, who had 5 completely different points that received greater than 10% within the competitors for a very powerful: the economic system (23%), threats to democracy (21%), abortion (18%), candidate’s background/coverage report (15%) and candidate’s character/temperament (13%).
NPI stated the outcomes spotlight stark variations between Trump and Harris voters and set the stage for key challenges within the time period forward.
“The data reveals a fascinating divide in how voters approached their decision. Harris’ coalition was built on a broad spectrum of concerns, whereas Trump’s base was united by those two dominant priorities: the economy and immigration. And now voters expect to see results from Trump on those issues,” Mike Noble, NPI founder & CEO, stated.
The ballot additionally examined voters’ expectations for change throughout Trump’s second time period, discovering that Nevadans are most assured that immigration and the border shall be “better,” adopted by nationwide safety.
“Immigration and national defense are must-haves for Trump — he has to do well on these issues or key chunks of his base may lose their energy,” David Byler, NPI chief of analysis, stated.
“The next tier of issues is primarily economic. How Trump handles inflation and the economy will determine whether he’s popular, at least compared to other second-term presidents, or not. And if he manages the difficult feat of beating expectations on abortion or climate change, his popularity will likely rise even more,” Byler stated.
NPI officers stated the outlook for the economic system, authorities effectivity and inflation is extra break up. “Pessimism on these issues is mainly driven by Democrats, liberals, and Harris voters — larger majorities (60-70%) of each group expect each of those three issues to get worse under Trump.”
Nevada Republicans move Democrats in voter registration, PAC stories
Nevada voters count on local weather change and abortion entry to worsen underneath Trump. “Pessimism is once more pushed by Democrats, whereas robust pluralities of Republicans — together with conservatives and Trump voters — say there shall be no change on these points underneath Trump.
NPI officers stated the ballot is especially putting in the way in which it displays Nevada’s distinctive place as a microcosm of nationwide considerations. “The state’s diverse population shows us that while economic and border security concerns dominated the 2024 decision, voters maintain complex expectations across a broad spectrum of issues that will define the success of Trump’s second term.”
The ballot was carried out Jan. 14-17 with a survey of 813 registered voters in Nevada. The ballot’s margin of error was plus or minus 3.44%.
