The messy authorities shutdown struggle this month foreshadows a few of the challenges Home Republicans may face subsequent yr, as a significant check on funding awaits the incoming GOP “trifecta.”
Congress narrowly averted a authorities shutdown final week — however not with out a little bit of drama. GOP management struggled to satisfy powerful calls for from President-elect Trump, whereas navigating a decent Republican majority to provide a deal that might additionally go the Democratic-led Senate within the eleventh hour.
Lawmakers in the end voted to maintain the federal government’s lights on via mid-March.
However some see the struggle as a form of follow run by Republicans for when they’re anticipated to ramp up work on the 12 fiscal 2025 funding payments early subsequent yr.
“The reality, for the better part of the first year, [is] we’re going to have a one-vote majority,” Rep. Chuck Fleischmann (R-Tenn.), a spending cardinal, stated earlier this month. “So, in a way, it’s almost like practice, showing what we’re going to have to do.”
“On the upside, we know we’re going to have to sit in rooms and communicate and listen and work through some things,” he stated. “Probably not going to be all easy times. Some will be. But I think it was a good trial run for 2025.”
Home GOP management has already seen challenges in wrangling the varied factions of its occasion to go funding payments with a razor-thin majority within the decrease chamber.
Leaders beforehand aimed to have all 12 annual funding payments handed by the August recess. However these hopes have been deflated over the summer time as inside divides over points reminiscent of abortion reemerged.
“When you have a situation where the Democrats all vote no on every appropriations bill, you eventually hit a wall because, you know, we have a few of our own members that vote against some of these bills,” Home Majority Chief Steve Scalise (R-La.) stated on the time, whereas additionally calling on the Senate “to start doing their work.”
The Senate has but to go any of its annual funding payments for fiscal 2025, whereas the Home handed about half of its 12 full-year spending plans. Nevertheless, the Home payments are far more partisan in nature than the bipartisan proposals crafted within the at the moment Democratic-led Senate, the place a 60-vote threshold is required for many laws.
Which means Home Republicans may solely afford just a few defections to go their annual funding plans, with most or all Democrats voting in opposition. And that margin is simply getting smaller within the subsequent Congress, when the GOP-led Senate can have a bigger majority than within the Home for the primary time in about six many years.
Below the laws handed to avert a shutdown final week, Congress set its new deadline of March 14 to hash out funding for the rest of fiscal 2025 — and high appropriators on either side say the roughly three-month time-frame is reasonable to finish their annual funding work.
“All our bills are out of committee. We know where we’re at on all the issues. So, we just need to sit down and work with our colleagues,” Home Appropriations Committee Chair Tom Cole (R-Okla.) stated, noting his working relationship with Senate Appropriations Committee Chair Patty Murray (D-Wash.); Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), the highest Republican on the panel; and Rep. Rosa DeLauro (Conn.), the highest Democratic appropriator within the Home.
“Let the appropriators do their job. I promise you, we’ll get our bills done on time,” Cole stated.
Regardless of having management of each chambers, the extra partisan payments staking out the Home GOP’s beginning place are nonetheless anticipated to look completely different from the ultimate, conferenced product with the Senate, the place Democratic votes will probably be wanted for remaining passage.
“They’ll be hard to negotiate out,” Rep. Mike Simpson (R-Idaho), one other spending cardinal, stated when requested concerning the funding work forward. However he additionally dismissed issues about the specter of across-the-board cuts after April if Congress doesn’t go its fiscal 2025 funding payments by then.
He added he is aware of appropriators will have the ability to end the payments “on time” as soon as management indicators off on a top-line settlement that can permit negotiators to start crafting the compromise payments between each chambers.
However Trump earlier this month sunk an settlement for a unbroken decision that had been labored out between each chambers, sending lawmakers scrambling.
And a few Republicans have already shared issues concerning the delayed funding work slicing into much-needed time for different priorities, notably as leaders eye passing two funds reconciliation packages to deal with elements of Trump’s agenda on border, power and taxes subsequent yr.
Rep. Mark Amodei (R-Nev.), head of the funding subcommittee that crafts funding payments for the Division of Homeland Safety, described subsequent yr’s balancing act as “the multitasking Olympics.”
“Pre-Fifteenth of March, you continue to bought to complete. You have to end ‘25 so reconciliation is going to be a piece of that on how you finish ‘25,” Amodei told The Hill, while also saying reconciliation work could have an impact on Congress’s annual funding work.
“It’ll be multitasking time because you got to be working on that, at the same time you’re finishing up ‘25, and at the same time you’re starting hearings on ‘26, which is the first full year of a Trump administration,” he added.
