Home Democrats are bracing for main fights within the coming yr as President Trump enters the White Home for his second time period and Republicans management all levers of energy in Washington.
Trump, who was sworn in on Monday, has promised an bold legislative agenda, vowing to overtake insurance policies throughout the businesses whereas making daring claims that voters gave him a mandate to push these modifications into being.
His proposed agenda touches on just about each main coverage problem ruled by Washington — from immigration, power and well being care, to legislation enforcement, taxes and commerce — and Democrats are already girding to guard their favored packages, together with a protracted listing of initiatives adopted by President Biden in response to the CCOVID-19 pandemic.
“We’re getting ready for a broad-scale assault,” stated Rep. Jamie Raskin (Md.), senior Democrat on the Home Judiciary Committee. “It seems like the whole Trump party has now adopted the ‘flood the zone’ philosophy.”
Right here’s the place a few of the key Democratic gamers see the most important battles of 2025 rising.
Deportations
One in every of Trump’s most outstanding marketing campaign planks was the promise to deport hundreds of thousands of immigrants residing within the nation with out authorization.
“On day one, I will launch the largest deportation program in American history to get the criminals out,” Trump stated simply earlier than the Nov. 3 election.
That coverage shift can largely be initiated from the administration unilaterally, however it will likely be simpler stated than completed. There are roughly 11 million immigrants with out everlasting authorized standing within the nation, in accordance with the newest federal estimate. And even when Trump targeted solely on convicted criminals (virtually 436,000, in accordance with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement) and people dealing with legal prices (virtually 227,000), the prices could be huge.
Meaning Congress, which controls Washington’s spending, will even have a big position to play in that debate. And Democrats are vowing a drag-out struggle — one during which they see the enterprise group as a strong ally.
“I’m now hearing from a lot of companies that depend on migrant labor,” stated Rep. Bennie Thompson (Miss.), the senior Democrat on the Homeland Safety Committee, who listed deportations as a high problem on his radar. “So I think the perception that everybody wants people to go is not the case.”
Birthright Citizenship
Raskin stated one other of Trump’s early guarantees — the elimination of blanket citizenship rights for everybody born in the US — will spark one other main partisan battle. And Democrats, he stated, could have even higher voice in that debate as a result of these rights are enshrined within the Structure and would virtually actually require an act of Congress to take away them.
“They’ve signaled that they need to abolish birthright citizenship on the primary day of the administration — that collides instantly with the 14th Modification,” stated Raskin, a former legislation professor. “So there will be a big fight about that.”
Adopted in 1868, the 14th Modification granted citizenship and civil rights protections to slaves, and the descendants of slaves, following the Civil Conflict.
Trump and a few of his Republican allies within the Capitol say the legislation has been abused and shouldn’t apply to youngsters born of immigrants who lack everlasting authorized standing. Trump advised NBC final month that he would have ended birthright citizenship in his first time period, however the Covid pandemic stifled the plan.
This yr, he signed an order on Day 1 in search of to finish birthright citizenship for kids born within the U.S. to folks who will not be lawfully current. The ACLU has sued to problem the order.
Ukraine
Leaders in each events have backed billions of {dollars} in support to Ukraine since Russia invaded virtually three years in the past. However Trump, who rolled to victory on a message of “America First” isolationism, has been chilly to the thought of constant that assist. And Home Republicans seem able to comply with his lead.
The GOP shift turned extra evident final week when Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) changed Rep. Mike Turner (R-Ohio), a Russia hawk, with Rep. Rick Crawford (R-Ark.), who has opposed Ukraine support, on the high of the Home Intelligence Committee.
Biden pushed billions of {dollars} for Kyiv within the closing weeks of his tenure. However with no sign of ending to the Russia-Ukraine battle, Congress is certain to confront the query of whether or not extra support ought to be delivered. Democrats have the backing of reasonable Republicans in that struggle, however with Trump in energy they understand it received’t be straightforward.
”There’s a robust bipartisan majority right here within the Home, and within the Senate, that desires to proceed to assist Ukraine within the battle towards Russia,” stated Rep. Gerry Connolly (D-Va.), the rating member of the Home Oversight and Reform Committee. “At least at the starting gate, that’s a … clash with the president-elect.”
ObamaCare subsidies
Trump tried unsuccessfully in his first time period to repeal ObamaCare in its entirety. This time round he’s been much less clear about his intentions for this system, which has gained in recognition and just lately noticed enrollment hit a file excessive of virtually 24 million folks.
However the insurance coverage subsidies which might be central to this system expire on the finish of the yr, and a few key Republicans — together with Rep. Brett Guthrie (R-Ky.), chairman of the Power and Commerce Committee — have recommended these funds ought to expire.
These threats are lighting a hearth underneath some high Democrats — together with Reps. Frank Pallone (N.J.), senior Democrat on the Power and Commerce panel, and Richard Neal (Mass.), the rating member of the Methods and Means Committee — who each have some jurisdiction over the well being care debate and are vowing to struggle tooth and nail to protect these funds.
“We’ve got the extension of ACA subsidies,” Neal stated. “That’s a big deal.”
Prescription drug costs
Pallone pointed to a different battle brewing within the well being care area: The partisan disagreement over whether or not Medicare ought to have the ability to barter prescription drug costs on behalf of seniors.
Biden adopted that coverage as a part of the Inflation Discount Act (IRA) in 2022, when Democrats managed the Home and Senate. And as certainly one of his final acts from the White Home, Biden introduced 15 new medication that may be topic to these negotiations.
However Republicans, who’ve lengthy opposed negotiation as an encroachment on personal markets, are eying plans to repeal that provision, amongst a protracted listing of different IRA measures.
“My biggest concern is that I don’t want them to try to repeal the negotiated prices for prescription drugs,” Pallone stated. “I don’t want them to eliminate the subsidies for the ACA. And I don’t want to eliminate the climate provisions in the IRA.”
Local weather
Pallone isn’t alone in bracing for large fights over power and local weather provisions handed within the IRA, which sought to encourage a shift away from the nation’s reliance on fossil fuels.
Rep. Jared Huffman (D-Calif.), the newly put in rating member of the Pure Sources Committee, can be readying for battle to protect the local weather subsidies and different environmental protections.
“The fossil-fuel agenda — across the board, they’re going to just try to do massive giveaways, opening up public lands, rolling back royalty reform,” Huffman stated.
“There’s also the environmental laws they’re going to want to dramatically weaken, if not eliminate,” he added. “We will have to fight on that.”
The US, lately, has produced extra power than it consumes. Nonetheless, congressional Republicans are vowing to increase oil and gasoline drilling, to incorporate a reversal of Biden’s latest ban on some offshore drilling, which Trump stated he’ll repeal “immediately.”
“We will drill, baby, drill,” Trump stated earlier this month.
Taxes
The 2017 tax cuts have been the defining home achievement of Trump’s first time period. With these cuts scheduled to run out on the finish of the yr, the battle over which taxpayers ought to retain their advantages into 2026 is shaping as much as be among the many greatest clashes in Washington.
Trump and his GOP allies need to lengthen all of the cuts, to incorporate the decrease charges for companies and rich Individuals established in 2017. Democrats are preventing as a substitute to protect the cuts for working-class taxpayers, whereas permitting the charges to extend for wealthier folks.
Neal, as senior Democrat on the Methods and Means Committee, will lead that struggle. He stated Democrats will even be urgent for 2 associated points: an growth of the kid tax credit score and paid household go away. And he thinks Democrats could have leverage within the debate due to the GOP’s traditionally skinny Home majority.
“It’s going to be hard for them with a three vote majority — if that — to pass a tax bill,” he stated.
Crypto
Only a few years in the past, Trump referred to as cryptocurrencies a “scam.” However that was then.
On the marketing campaign path, the president emerged as a convert, embracing the business and vowing to make America “the crypto capital of the planet.”
That shift has sparked the priority of Rep. Maxine Waters (Calif.), the senior Democrat on the Monetary Companies Committee, who’s predicting the most important struggle on her panel this yr will probably be how — and even whether or not — Congress ought to regulate the largely ungoverned business.
“Many of our members don’t know a lot about crypto, and they’re going to be under a kind of pressure from the crypto industry,” she stated.
“Trump is already invested in crypto, and he says he’s going to be the crypto king. But we’ve got to have guardrails. That’s the most important thing,” she continued. “Those of us who understand, we’ve just got to fight very hard to say, ‘We’ve got to have guardrails. It can’t just be the wild, wild west out there.’”
Defend federal workers
Trump’s battle with the federal paperwork has been a defining function of his time in Washington.
He’s accused the Justice Division of “weaponizing” its sources to break him legally whereas blaming the “deep state” of orchestrating efforts to undermine him politically. A coverage blueprint penned by a few of his high allies proposes to intestine the federal worker pool and change it with Trump loyalists.
Connolly, the rating member of Oversight, stated he expects to be on the entrance strains of Democratic efforts to push again towards any federal workforce overhaul, particularly if it consists of punitive insurance policies like relocations.
“He did that in his first term, and it failed,” Connolly stated. “Most of the employees involved ended up taking other jobs or quitting, rather than being relocated, and there was a degradation of services as a result.”
Connolly additionally stated there will probably be a loud conflict if Trump makes an attempt to make good on a proposal to denationalise the Postal Service.
“We will certainly, hammer-and-tongs, oppose that,” he stated.
